Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Giants Win Big, Up $20

The Giants offense continued to be in sync and their defense finally stepped up. Those front four looked better then they have all year and Eli Manning is playing some of the best football of his career. It looks like he has taken his game to a whole new level this year. I'll be out of town for the next week or so, so I'm not sure if I'll have any games. But we'll see.

Also, is it baseball season yet? I need to catch up to the S&P 500.

Portfolio: $904 (-1.8% return)
S&P 500: $1114 (21% return)

Today's Games

None

Monday, December 21, 2009

Good Games Yesterday, But No Bets

It was a pretty exciting day yesterday and I'm glad I didn't bet any games. The couple of game I was thinking of did not turn out right. But I do like the game tonight. The playoff race in the AFC is so cloudy right now while the NFC is basically set. The Giants are the only team not currently in a playoff slot that still has a chance.

Portfolio: $884 (-4% return)
S&P 500: $1102 (19.7% return)

Today's Game

NY Giants @ Washington (+3)

This game looks like a trap, but I'm not buying it. I like the Giants in a must win game. They have proven that they are one of the better road teams over the last couple years. It looked like last week they had a good rhythm on offense and I see them keeping that up. The Redskins are playing better, but I can see them getting run over by a hungry team. I have no problem giving the points on the road.

Bet

$22 NYG -3

Sunday, December 20, 2009

No Games Today

I don't see any games I like. This week looks tough as there are a lot of high lines. The only low home dog is tomorrow night and I might actually like the Giants, but for today I do not see any good bets. Check back tomorrow though as I'll probably bet that game.

Portfolio: $884 (-4% return)
S&P 500: $1102 (19.7% return)

Today's Games

None

Monday, December 14, 2009

Rough Day, Down $44

Wow, that’s pretty tough to go 0-4. It’s just as tough as going 4-0. I guess I am just not seeing things right. I was going to bet on the 49ers tonight, but when things are going bad its best just to take a step back instead of trying to get what you lost back. There is all the time in the world to gain losses back, so whenever you feel the urge to gain a loss back it means you should take a step back.

The Bengals really surprised me, and it’s obvious their weakness is the inability to stretch the field. They do not have a home run threat in the passing game as Chad Johnson has become more of a possession receiver. The main reason they lost was that they could not stop Adrian Peterson, but no team really can. The Bucs game looked like a trap, but the trap never went off. I bet if Gradkowski didn’t get hurt the Raiders game would have went differently. You can’t really do anything about injuries. The Eagles got two scores, defense and special teams, that proved to be too much for the Giants to overcome.

Portfolio: $884 (-4% return)
S&P 500: $1106 (20.1% return)

Today’s Games

None

Sunday, December 13, 2009

NFL Today

There are a handful and games I like today and hopefully I will do better than last week. I really don't want to fall below even again.

Portfolio: $928 (0.8% return)
S&P 500: $1106 (20.1% return)

Today's Games

Cincinnati @ Minnesota (-7)
NY Jets @ Tampa Bay (+4)
Washington @ Oakland (+1)
Philadelphia @ NY Giants (+1)


I'm surprised the line is this high since the Bengals defense is so good. I don't think the Vikings will be able to put up a lot of points, and the Bengals play a ball controlling game so the game should be close. I'm not sure who will win, but I like it to be close. Plus this is the time of year that Favre seems to wear down.

The Jets are back in the playoff hunt and have a solid running game and defense, but on the road against a team that seems to be improving might not be good for them. I like this game to be close and the Bucs to pull it out in the end. The Jets struggles in the passing game will do them in.

The Redskins and Raiders have both been playing better recently and this should be a good game today in a game that means nothing. I like the Raiders at home since this is the first time the Redskins have had to head West for a game. Usually if a team is not used to the trip they will lose.

In what should be a good game tonight I like the home team. I'll take Eli Manning over Donovan McNabb in a big game any day.

Bets

$11 CIN +7
$11 TB +4
$11 OAK +1
$11 NYG +1

Tuesday, December 8, 2009

Packers Win A Sloppy Game

I'm down $11 from yesterday and $24 for the weekend, not a good week. I was right about this being a tough week, but I was wrong about thinking I can win. As of now, next week does not look too easy as there are a lot of home favorites.

Portfolio: $928 (0.8% return)
S&P 500: $1103 (19.8% return)

Today's Games

None

Monday, December 7, 2009

2-3, Down $13

Not a good day yesterday, but also not a horrible day. I should have stuck with all the low home dogs. Also, I'm pretty sure 10 out of 14 dogs covered yesterday, so it was probably a good day for sports books as most people bet favorites.

Portfolio: $939 (2% return)
S&P 500: $1106 (20.1% return)

Today's Game

Baltimore @ Green Bay (-3.5)

This should be another good Monday Night matchup as both teams are in the thick of the playoff race. I believe the Packers will struggle on defense as injuries are catching up the them. The Ravens defense is not what it used to be, but they still have big play capability. The Ravens offense is led by Ray Rice and I think he will have a huge game tonight. Aaron Rogers and the Green Bay passing attack is good, but they will be one dimensional tonight. I expect this to be a higher scoring game, with the Ravens able to move the ball better.

Bets

$11 BAL +3.5

Sunday, December 6, 2009

NFL Today

This week looks pretty tough, but I should be able to make some gains for my portfolio.

Portfolio: $952 (3.4% return)
S&P 500: $1106 (20.1% return)

Today's Games

Houston @ Jacksonville (+2)
Tennessee @ Indianapolis (-7)
San Diego @ Cleveland (+14)
Dallas @ New York Giants (+1)
Minnesota @ Arizona (+3.5)

In a game that will be huge in shaping the AFC Wild Card, I like the more talented team. Although I generally do not bet on low road favorites, I think the Texas are a very talented team that struggle to win against superior foes. They seem to win games that they should, and the Jaguars have been playing a little over their head this year. The Jags are an average team, but not much better. I feel comfortable laying the 2 points on the talented road team.

The Colts just find a way to win every week, but I believe that will come to end end sometime soon. The Texans had that game last week and choked it away at home. The Titans are playing as well as any team right now and the way to beat the Colts is to control the ball and be more physical than them. I think the Titans can do that. I don't know if they'll win, but I like the 7 points.

The Chargers/Browns game will be a blowout. With the Browns losing Shaun Rogers they now have no threat on the defense, and they already had no threat on offense. Look for the Chargers to pressure Quinn like crazy and dominate the entire game.

I like the Giants in this game because are the low home dog. I think these teams are pretty even, so I'll take the home team.

In what should be a good game tonight, I like the home dog getting 3.5 points. Warner should be playing and the Arizona defense should slow down the Vikings offense.

Bets

$11 HOU -2
$11 TEN +7
$11 SD -14
$11 NYG +1
$11 ARI +3.5