Portfolio: $791 (-14.1% return)
S&P 500: $1102 (19.7% return)
Today's Games (7/30)
Philadelphia (-180) @ Washington (+160)
In the only game I like this Friday newly acquired Roy Oswalt is matched up against Craig Stammen. Oswalt was just traded yesterday and will barely get to introduce himself before taking the mound tonight. He is putting together a solid season and his indicators are the best they've been in years. I'm not too worried about his last start when he let up 6 runs in 5 innings. I think he will step up his game for his first start on a new team. Stammen has struggled in the majors because he gives up too many hits and doesn't get many swings and misses, and when you're facing a red hot Phillies team that's not good. I like the Phillies in a rout.
Bets
$36 PHI -180
Thursday, July 29, 2010
Tuesday, July 27, 2010
Greinke Gets Rocked, Royals Lose - Down $22
Just a little bit off on that one.
Portfolio: $791 (-14.1% return)
S&P 500: $1114 (21% return)
Today's Games
None
Portfolio: $791 (-14.1% return)
S&P 500: $1114 (21% return)
Today's Games
None
Sunday, July 25, 2010
1-1, Up $10
The Indians lost the first game even though Masterson threw well enough to win. Davis also threw well and got a little lucky in stranding a few more runners. In the second game Lincecum got touched in the second for 2 runs but other than that he managed the game well even though he didn't have his best stuff. Lincecum threw 8 and the Giants won 3-2 in 10.
Portfolio: $813 (-11.7% return)
S&P 500: $1103 (19.8% return)
Today's Games (Monday)
Minnesota (-110) @ Kansas City (-110)
In the only game today Francisco Liriano is matched up against Zack Greinke. Liriano is looking like his 2006 self and as been lights out his last 2 starts, but he's walking a little more batters for me to think he'll keep it up. Greinke looks to be finally getting into a groove and is coming off his best start of the year. I like his indicators and I like him to keep up the dominance. This should be a really good game to watch if you're a fan of pitching, I just think the walks will start to catch up to Liriano. When Greinke is on there might not be anyone better. He has the abilty to throw a complete game with around 10 strikeouts in under 100 pitches.
Bets
$22 KC -110
Portfolio: $813 (-11.7% return)
S&P 500: $1103 (19.8% return)
Today's Games (Monday)
Minnesota (-110) @ Kansas City (-110)
In the only game today Francisco Liriano is matched up against Zack Greinke. Liriano is looking like his 2006 self and as been lights out his last 2 starts, but he's walking a little more batters for me to think he'll keep it up. Greinke looks to be finally getting into a groove and is coming off his best start of the year. I like his indicators and I like him to keep up the dominance. This should be a really good game to watch if you're a fan of pitching, I just think the walks will start to catch up to Liriano. When Greinke is on there might not be anyone better. He has the abilty to throw a complete game with around 10 strikeouts in under 100 pitches.
Bets
$22 KC -110
Two Games on Sunday
Portfolio: $803 (-12.8% return)
S&P 500: $1103 (19.8% return)
Today's Games
Tampa Bay (-160) @ Cleveland (+140)
San Francisco (-150) @ Arizona (+130)
In the first game Wade Davis is matched up against Justin Masterson. Davis has been rock solid as of late going 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA in his last 2 starts. He has showed great control, but is getting a little lucky on his hit rate and he is also not striking out too many. I don't think he'll continue to pitch this good. Masterson has had a bad year, but he has had flashes of turning the corner. If he keeps the ball in the strike zone he is really hard to hit. The Indians are playing really well right now and the team is just out there having fun. I can not say the same about the Rays regarding the fun part. I think the overall team confidence will help Masterson today and I like the Indians as the dog.
In the second game Giants ace Tim Lincecum is matched up against rookie Barry Enright. Lincecum really struggled in his last start, but I do not see that continuing. His indicators are all down a little this year, but he is still one of the top pitchers. He'll eventually work through it. The Diamondbacks could not have asked for more from Enright, who they called up from Double A last month, as he has gone 2-2 with a 2.66 ERA. His indicators were really solid in Double A and he has carried those over to the majors, but with him being 24 years old straight out of Double A I would expect him to hit a rough patch soon. And what better time than against a hot Giants team with a two time CY Young winner on the mound? I like the Giants in a max bet.
Bets
$10 CLE +140
$30 SF -150
S&P 500: $1103 (19.8% return)
Today's Games
Tampa Bay (-160) @ Cleveland (+140)
San Francisco (-150) @ Arizona (+130)
In the first game Wade Davis is matched up against Justin Masterson. Davis has been rock solid as of late going 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA in his last 2 starts. He has showed great control, but is getting a little lucky on his hit rate and he is also not striking out too many. I don't think he'll continue to pitch this good. Masterson has had a bad year, but he has had flashes of turning the corner. If he keeps the ball in the strike zone he is really hard to hit. The Indians are playing really well right now and the team is just out there having fun. I can not say the same about the Rays regarding the fun part. I think the overall team confidence will help Masterson today and I like the Indians as the dog.
In the second game Giants ace Tim Lincecum is matched up against rookie Barry Enright. Lincecum really struggled in his last start, but I do not see that continuing. His indicators are all down a little this year, but he is still one of the top pitchers. He'll eventually work through it. The Diamondbacks could not have asked for more from Enright, who they called up from Double A last month, as he has gone 2-2 with a 2.66 ERA. His indicators were really solid in Double A and he has carried those over to the majors, but with him being 24 years old straight out of Double A I would expect him to hit a rough patch soon. And what better time than against a hot Giants team with a two time CY Young winner on the mound? I like the Giants in a max bet.
Bets
$10 CLE +140
$30 SF -150
Monday, July 19, 2010
Rangers Lose In Extra Innings Saturday
Cliff Lee threw another complete game while allowing 2 runs, but the Rangers offense could not score for him. Down $30.
Portfolio: $803 (-12.8% return)
S&P 500: $1070 (16.2% return)
Today's Games
None
Portfolio: $803 (-12.8% return)
S&P 500: $1070 (16.2% return)
Today's Games
None
Saturday, July 17, 2010
One Game Today
Portfolio: $833 (-9.6% return)
S&P 500: $1065 (15.6% return)
Today's Games
Texas (-150) @ Boston (+140)
In the only game today newly acquired Cliff Lee is matched up against the struggling John Lackey. By staying in the American League, Cliff Lee has a chance for his second CY Young award. His indicators are career bests so it looks like he will continue his dominance and lead the Rangers to the postseason. He is exactly what the heavy hitting Rangers needed. John Lackey is looking like a bad acquisition for the Red Sox, and that has been rare the last few years. I don't know if he's hurt, feeling too much pressure, or just losing his stuff. Maybe it's a combination, but he is having his worst season as a pro. His indicators are horrible. His strikeouts per nine are down 1.5 from his career average, his walks per nine are up 1, and his hits per nine are up 1.5. That puts his indicators this year at fringe major league starter. Add that to the fact that Boston is missing serious offensive production and the Rangers at -150 look like a great pick. Max bet (5%) on Texas with a CY Young contender facing a makeshift lineup with a struggling starter.
Bets
$30 TEX -150
S&P 500: $1065 (15.6% return)
Today's Games
Texas (-150) @ Boston (+140)
In the only game today newly acquired Cliff Lee is matched up against the struggling John Lackey. By staying in the American League, Cliff Lee has a chance for his second CY Young award. His indicators are career bests so it looks like he will continue his dominance and lead the Rangers to the postseason. He is exactly what the heavy hitting Rangers needed. John Lackey is looking like a bad acquisition for the Red Sox, and that has been rare the last few years. I don't know if he's hurt, feeling too much pressure, or just losing his stuff. Maybe it's a combination, but he is having his worst season as a pro. His indicators are horrible. His strikeouts per nine are down 1.5 from his career average, his walks per nine are up 1, and his hits per nine are up 1.5. That puts his indicators this year at fringe major league starter. Add that to the fact that Boston is missing serious offensive production and the Rangers at -150 look like a great pick. Max bet (5%) on Texas with a CY Young contender facing a makeshift lineup with a struggling starter.
Bets
$30 TEX -150
Friday, July 9, 2010
2 Wins Wednesday, Up $60
The Giants steamrolled the Brewers and Johnson was dominant again. Maybe this will be the start of my winning this year. And by the way, being from Cleveland, I HATE LEBRON. What a coward move last night. I don't think he'll ever win any championships because of what he's turned into. I've followed him ever since high school and he's changed a lot, for the worse.
Portfolio: $833 (-9.6% return)
S&P 500: $1070 (16.2% return)
Today's Games
None
Portfolio: $833 (-9.6% return)
S&P 500: $1070 (16.2% return)
Today's Games
None
Wednesday, July 7, 2010
Two Games Wednesday
Portfolio: $773 (-16.1% return)
S&P 500: $1049 (13.9% return)
Today's Games
San Francisco (-130) @ Milwaukee (+120)
Florida (-120) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (+110)
In the first game back to back NL CY Young winner Tim Lincecum is matched up against erratic Chris Narveson. Lincecum has struggled more than usual this year but his ERA is still 3.28 and he still has solid indicators. His control is was is hurting him as he's walking 1 more batter per nine than last year. He was not too impressive in his last outing but I think he'll start to turn it around soon. Narveson looks like he is just an average pitcher at best and is prone to giving up big innings. With this big of a pitching mismatch and the Giants having the better team I am scratching my head why the line is this low. Max bet on Giants -130.
In the second game CY Young front runner runner Josh Johnson is matched up against the the solid Hiroki Kuroda. Johnson is having a season of a lifetime since he has not given up more than 2 earned runs since May 8th. That is 10 starts! His indicators are rock solid and the best of his career and I expect him to throw well again tonight. Kuroda is a decent pitcher who won't overpower anyone so he is prone to letting up lots of runs from time to time. He was roughed up in his last 2 starts and his control hasn't been there this year. I don't expect him to get rocked again tonight, I just don't expect him to out duel Johnson. Max bet on Florida.
Bets
$39 SF -130
$36 FLA -120
S&P 500: $1049 (13.9% return)
Today's Games
San Francisco (-130) @ Milwaukee (+120)
Florida (-120) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (+110)
In the first game back to back NL CY Young winner Tim Lincecum is matched up against erratic Chris Narveson. Lincecum has struggled more than usual this year but his ERA is still 3.28 and he still has solid indicators. His control is was is hurting him as he's walking 1 more batter per nine than last year. He was not too impressive in his last outing but I think he'll start to turn it around soon. Narveson looks like he is just an average pitcher at best and is prone to giving up big innings. With this big of a pitching mismatch and the Giants having the better team I am scratching my head why the line is this low. Max bet on Giants -130.
In the second game CY Young front runner runner Josh Johnson is matched up against the the solid Hiroki Kuroda. Johnson is having a season of a lifetime since he has not given up more than 2 earned runs since May 8th. That is 10 starts! His indicators are rock solid and the best of his career and I expect him to throw well again tonight. Kuroda is a decent pitcher who won't overpower anyone so he is prone to letting up lots of runs from time to time. He was roughed up in his last 2 starts and his control hasn't been there this year. I don't expect him to get rocked again tonight, I just don't expect him to out duel Johnson. Max bet on Florida.
Bets
$39 SF -130
$36 FLA -120
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