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I was recently let go from my job (other than not getting paid it has been awesome) so I have been watching more sports on TV than I usually do. So I figured I might as well help some gamblers out there make money. I'll look at basketball, both NBA and college, but probably mainly college and also the remaining NFL playoffs. I would like to get my portfolio into the black so I can have some credibility, and once I do that I'll shoot for catching the S&P 500, which should probably collapse in the next year so it won't be as difficult as it currently looks.

Once again, I only have one rule and that is I will not risk any more than 5% of my portfolio on any bet. That is just good money management and I would advise all gamblers/stock traders to do the same.

Portfolio: $812 (-11.8% return)

S&P 500: $1293 (40.1% return)

Today's Games

Villanova @ Connecticut (-2.5)

Kansas State @ Missouri (-5)

Syracuse @ Pittsburgh (-6)

Kansas @ Baylor (+4)

In the fist game I like UConn over Nova. The opening line started at -1.5 and moved a whole point, and that tells me it was a soft line. Plus UConn is a pretty tough place to play as Nova has only won there once in the past 8 years.

In the second game I like Missouri over Kansas State. Missouri is one of the funnest teams to watch (along with Washington) as they get up and down the court at light speed. Missouri is just coming off a loss to Texas A&M and will want revenge while Kansas State is just not the same team as last year. I'm not worried about the 5 points because Missouri scores at will and should be able to pull away late in the second half.

In the third game I like Syracuse. I'm not sure they will win the game as Pittsburgh is one of the toughest places to play in all of college basketball, but I think it should be a close game. 6 points is a lot to give a team like Syracuse, especially with how good their defense has been playing this year.

In the fourth game I like Baylor at home. Kansas has struggled a little on the road so far and Baylor will look to turn their season around. I look for them to come out with a lot of energy in this game.

Bets

$11 UConn -2.5

$11 Missouri -5

$11 Syracuse +6

$11 Baylor +4