One Game Today

Portfolio: $870 (-5.5% return)
S&P 500: $1089 (18.2% return)

Today's Game

Oakland (+150) @ Detroit (-170)

In the only game today the youngster Trevor Cahill is matched up against Tigers ace Justin Verlander. Cahill is having a decent season so far with a 3.31 ERA, but I do not believe that will hold up. He is a ground ball pitcher who's strikeout rate is fairly below the major league average. He will not walk too many and he's better than the average there, but the reason he's off to a good start is his low hit rate. His hit rate of 7.39 per 9 is in line with Johan Santana's career rate, so I do not see that holding up since his stuff is no where near Santana's. Cahill has also struggled away from home with a 4.56 ERA vs. a home ERA of 0.77. Verlander has had an up and down season, but is still 5-3 with a 3.74 ERA. He got off to a rough start, then settled down but was roughed up in his last start. His strikeouts are walks are worse than last year and he has been helped out by a generous hit rate, but even with that he is still a pretty good pitcher. He has been strong at home this year and threw a complete game allowing only 1 run against the A's two weeks ago. At -170, this line looks a little low for a pitching mismatch this big. I will bet as much as I can without going over my max of 5%.

Bets

$34 DET -170