Portfolio: $964 (4.7% return)
S&P 500: $1091 (18.5% return)
Today's Games
Indianapolis @ Houston (+3.5)
Miami @ Buffalo (+3.5)
Arizona @ Tennessee (-3)
Pittsburgh @ Baltimore (-7.5)
The Colts have been walking the tightrope recently and I look for them to fall off this week. They will be without Dwight Freeney today and that will let Schaub have the time to pick apart a soft secondary. The Colts have a good defense and generally do not blitz because Freeney and Mathis get such good pressure on the QB. Their defense is based around the front four getting pressure. The absence of Freeney will have an effect on the whole line. The Texans are coming off the hard fought loss and should be eager to get back on the field and pick up a win to stay in the playoff race. I'll take the points.
Miami is without their best player, Ronnie Brown, but Ricky Williams stepped it up against the Panthers last Thursday. I do not see him doing that again. The Bills are a team that doesn't quit, and it looks like Fitzpatrick is gaining some confidence along with the team. I like the Bills with the points at home.
It looks like Kurt Warner will play today and that is huge for the Cardinals, but they happen to be facing one of the hottest teams at home. Vince Young seems to do whatever it takes to win and Chris Johnson is maybe the biggest home run threat in the game. The Titans defense has stepped it up a notch, and they will be tough to beat at home. The Cardinals looked to have taken the step as a good team with a solid defense and wins on the road this year, I just think the Titans have too much going for them right now.
The Steelers are in trouble as Troy Polumalu is out again and so is Ben Roethlisberger. They are starting rookie Dennis Dixon at QB and we all know what the Ravens defense does to rookie QB's. I like the Ravens big as I do not see the Steelers scoring too many points.
Bets
$11 HOU +3.5
$11 BUF +3.5
$11 TEN -3
$11 BAL -7.5
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