The Indians lost the first game even though Masterson threw well enough to win. Davis also threw well and got a little lucky in stranding a few more runners. In the second game Lincecum got touched in the second for 2 runs but other than that he managed the game well even though he didn't have his best stuff. Lincecum threw 8 and the Giants won 3-2 in 10.
Portfolio: $813 (-11.7% return)
S&P 500: $1103 (19.8% return)
Today's Games (Monday)
Minnesota (-110) @ Kansas City (-110)
In the only game today Francisco Liriano is matched up against Zack Greinke. Liriano is looking like his 2006 self and as been lights out his last 2 starts, but he's walking a little more batters for me to think he'll keep it up. Greinke looks to be finally getting into a groove and is coming off his best start of the year. I like his indicators and I like him to keep up the dominance. This should be a really good game to watch if you're a fan of pitching, I just think the walks will start to catch up to Liriano. When Greinke is on there might not be anyone better. He has the abilty to throw a complete game with around 10 strikeouts in under 100 pitches.
Bets
$22 KC -110
Showing posts with label francisco liriano. Show all posts
Showing posts with label francisco liriano. Show all posts
Sunday, July 25, 2010
Thursday, May 20, 2010
First Games of the Year
Portfolio: $859 (-6.7% return)
S&P 500: $1115 (21.1% return)
Today's Games
Tampa Bay (+130) @ New York Yankees (-150)
Minnesota (+120) @ Boston (-140)
In the first game James Shields is matched up against Andy Pettitte. Both pitchers are off to fast starts, but it looks like only Shields will be able to keep it up. Shields strikeout rate is up and his walk and hit rates are normal. His 9.83 K/9 rate is up significantly from 6.84 last year and his career average of 7.32. Pettitte on the other hand has a strikeout rate below his average, walk rate above, and hit rate below. That means his 1.79 ERA is due for a big correction. With Tampa being the dog, I think they are a good play.
In the second game Francisco Liriano is matched up against Jon Lester. Liriano is off to a solid start and has the indicators to back it up. His strikeout rate isn't what it was 3 years ago, but it's still pretty good, and his walk rate is at about the same level. He looks like he is fully recovered from his surgery. Lester has had an up and down season so far, and his walk rate is the main culprit. His walk rate is up almost 50% from the last two years, and that can lead to inconsistency. With two solid front line starters I'll take the one with the better control, especially with him being the dog.
Bets
$20 TB +130
$20 MIN +120
S&P 500: $1115 (21.1% return)
Today's Games
Tampa Bay (+130) @ New York Yankees (-150)
Minnesota (+120) @ Boston (-140)
In the first game James Shields is matched up against Andy Pettitte. Both pitchers are off to fast starts, but it looks like only Shields will be able to keep it up. Shields strikeout rate is up and his walk and hit rates are normal. His 9.83 K/9 rate is up significantly from 6.84 last year and his career average of 7.32. Pettitte on the other hand has a strikeout rate below his average, walk rate above, and hit rate below. That means his 1.79 ERA is due for a big correction. With Tampa being the dog, I think they are a good play.
In the second game Francisco Liriano is matched up against Jon Lester. Liriano is off to a solid start and has the indicators to back it up. His strikeout rate isn't what it was 3 years ago, but it's still pretty good, and his walk rate is at about the same level. He looks like he is fully recovered from his surgery. Lester has had an up and down season so far, and his walk rate is the main culprit. His walk rate is up almost 50% from the last two years, and that can lead to inconsistency. With two solid front line starters I'll take the one with the better control, especially with him being the dog.
Bets
$20 TB +130
$20 MIN +120
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