S&P 500: $1010 (9.7% return)
Today's Game
Minnesota (+110) @ Detriot (-120)
In the only game I like today Scott Baker is going up against Jarrod Washburn. Baker's 9-7 record and 4.59 ERA make it look like he is an average pitcher having an average season, but that's not the case. He has a solid 3.9 K/BB ratio and has shown improvement on his strikeout rate over the last 3 years. His walk rate of 1.91 BB/9 is one of the best in the majors. Baker was the victim of bad luck early on in the season with a low strand rate and high home run rate. He is a fly ball pitcher so he will allow his fair share of long balls, but not at the rate he was giving up earlier. Over his last 3 starts he is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA. Pitching in the spacious Tigers ballpark will really benefit him today. Washburn on the other hand looks like he going out and dominating on a regular basis with an 8-7 and a 2.93 ERA. Well that's not the case as he has been the beneficiary of good luck. His strikeout and walk rate are right on his career averages and he is still a fly ball pitcher. What has helped him is his low hit rate of 7.48 compared to his 8.92 career average. It also seems he is getting a little lucky on strand rate. He is starting to come back to earth in his last 2 starts going 0-1 with a 5.11 ERA. I like the underdog Twins, with their ace on the mound, to take this series from the Tigers.
Bets
$20 MIN +110
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