Wednesday, September 2, 2009

No Action Yesterday

Portfolio: $1024 (11.2% return)
S&P 500: $998 (8.4% return)

Today’s Games

New York Yankees (-240) @ Baltimore (+200)

In the only game I like today CC Sabathia is matched up against Jason Berken. Sabathia is pitching as well as anyone in the game right now, and I look for it to continue. His K rate is elevated and his BB rate is depressed at about the same rate as the last 2 years when we won a CY Young and was a contender for one in less than a half season at Milwaukee. When he gets in the groove he tends to stay there until there is pressure and that’s when he loses his control. He has been a horrible big game pitcher over his career. This game has almost no pressure so his dominance should continue. The youngster Berken does not strikeout too many and gives up a decent amount of hits, so that tells me he’s doesn’t have dominant stuff. The Yankees should have no problem crossing the plate multiple times off him.

The lines are not looking too favorable right now. The favorites are favored by too much and the underdogs are usually youngsters with not a lot of history. I expect this to be the case the rest of the season, so I will be patient and wait for solid favorites or good value underdogs.

Bets

$48 NYY -240

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