That was an easy $44 last night, with the Rockies easily winning 11-1. Here's the updated financial situation. Remember, this is not real money, just a simulation to see how much I can outgain the stock market.
Betting: $965 (4.8% return)
S&P 500: 893 (-3% return)
Today's Picks
Two late game's look good tonight, San Francisco (-130) @ Oakland (+110) and Colorado (+100) @ LA Angels (-120).
Tim Lincecum is going up against the rookie Vin Mazzaro for the second time this year. The Giants won with Lincecum throwing a complete game shutout a couple weeks ago. Lincecum is the best pitcher in all of baseball in my opinion, with 3 plus pitches he can throw at any time. He's a high strikeout pitcher that gets a good amount of goundballs, pretty rare. Mazzaro is a good prospect that has shown he is hard to hit. Not a big strikeout pitcher, but has decent control. This is right up Lincecum's alley with Oakland being a poor hitting team and their ballpark being a pitcher's park. The Giants should win a low scoring affair tonight with Lincecum possibly throwing another gem.
Ubaldo Jimenez is matched up against another rookie Sean O'Sullivan in the second game. Jimenez is a heavy ground ball pitcher that throws hard. He's not really a strikeout pitcher, but if his stuff is good, he can miss some bats. O'Sullivan is a decent prospect that has pretty good control for a youngster. Not a big strikeout pitcher, but has shown good K/BB ratio's in the past. He has struggled in the minors this year going 6-4 with a 5.88 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP while splitting time in AA and AAA. The Rockies are on fire lately and should jump on the righty O'Sullivan early with their lefty dominant lineup.
I like the veterans, if you can call Lincecum and Jimenez veterans, to previal against the good prospects in both games. I like the Rockies hitting and the Athletics lack of hitting.
Bets
$39 SF -130
$30 COL +100
Showing posts with label portfolio. Show all posts
Showing posts with label portfolio. Show all posts
Tuesday, June 23, 2009
Monday, June 22, 2009
Easy Money
A typical slow Monday due to travel, but I do like 1 game tonight. It's the Rockies (+110) @ Angels (-130). I'll use the line's off Logans, which I get from going to the 'live odds' page in the sports section of the USA Today online. If the line is not an even betting number, I'll round to the nearest 10 so I don't have to deal with change.
I mainly look at the pitching matchup, but also condsider how the team has been playing of late. Aaron Cook looks realy good going up against Matt Palmer, and the Rockies have been playing lights out as of late winning 16 out of 17. Aaron Cook got off to a really bad start but has been pitching good as of late. The Rockies ace is a big time ground ball pitcher who gave up an usually high amount of home runs early in the season. Cook's not a strikeout pitcher, but has been striking out batter's at the highest rate in his career. He's also been walking batter's at the highest rate in the last 5 years, but his 5 year WHIP is unaffected due to a lower hit rate. I'm not too worried about the walks since they came early on in the season when he struggled. In his last 4 starts he has only walked 4 compared to 16 strikeouts, not bad at all.
Matt Palmer on the other hand has gotten off to a nice 6-0 start with a 4.13 ERA. If you look further into how he's doing it, it's fool's gold. Palmer is not a strikeout pitcher, not a heavy ground ball pitcher, not a control freak, and not left handed. What he's doing though is allowing very few hits, which is mostly luck and will eventually turn around.
The Bet
$40 COL +110
I mainly look at the pitching matchup, but also condsider how the team has been playing of late. Aaron Cook looks realy good going up against Matt Palmer, and the Rockies have been playing lights out as of late winning 16 out of 17. Aaron Cook got off to a really bad start but has been pitching good as of late. The Rockies ace is a big time ground ball pitcher who gave up an usually high amount of home runs early in the season. Cook's not a strikeout pitcher, but has been striking out batter's at the highest rate in his career. He's also been walking batter's at the highest rate in the last 5 years, but his 5 year WHIP is unaffected due to a lower hit rate. I'm not too worried about the walks since they came early on in the season when he struggled. In his last 4 starts he has only walked 4 compared to 16 strikeouts, not bad at all.
Matt Palmer on the other hand has gotten off to a nice 6-0 start with a 4.13 ERA. If you look further into how he's doing it, it's fool's gold. Palmer is not a strikeout pitcher, not a heavy ground ball pitcher, not a control freak, and not left handed. What he's doing though is allowing very few hits, which is mostly luck and will eventually turn around.
The Bet
$40 COL +110
Sunday, June 21, 2009
My sports gambling blog
I'm bored, just finished up an 0-3 day, and it just hit me I have to go to work tomorrow. My job is pretty laid back. I basically sit in a cube for 8 hours a day, and have been thinking about starting a sports gambling blog for quite some time to see if I can help people out. I love sports and love to gamble. I really only like to gamble on things that I believe I have an advantage on, like sports and poker. The odds are stacked against you in all other types of gambling. If I see a bet I like, I'll let you know. I'll start an imaginary portfolio at $921, which is equal to the S&P 500, and track its performance against the S&P 500. I'll usually bet around 2% of my portfolio and will never exceed 5%.
Portfolio as of 6/21/09:
Betting: $921 (0% return)
S&P 500: 921 (0% return)
Portfolio as of 6/21/09:
Betting: $921 (0% return)
S&P 500: 921 (0% return)
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