Portfolio: $865 (-6.1% return)
S&P 500: $1088 (18.1% return)
Today's Game
Tampa Bay (-160) @ Houston (+150)
In today's only game Jeff Niemann is matched up against Wandy Rodriguez. Niemann has gotten off to a great start at 3-0 with a 2.54 ERA, but he's definitely pitching over his head. His hit rate is roughly 2 hits per nine lower than last year and while his ground ball to fly ball ratio is up a little, it should not effect his hit rate that much. Over his last 3 starts his hit rate has regressed and I expect to see a bump in his ERA soon. Rodriguez has gotten off to a rocky start this year and it's mainly due to a decreased strikeout rate and an increased hit rate. I do not really get the strikeout rate, but I would expect him to get that back pretty soon. This year he's at 5.28 K's per nine, and the last 2 years he's been around 8.50. His hit rate is about 2 hits per nine higher than it has been the last few years, and with a pretty good increase in his ground ball to fly ball ratio that does not make much sense. I expect him to start picking up his game soon. With this game being played in the National League I think the Astros at +150 are a solid play.
Bets
$10 HOU +150
Showing posts with label tampa bay rays. Show all posts
Showing posts with label tampa bay rays. Show all posts
Saturday, May 22, 2010
Tuesday, August 11, 2009
No Games Yesterday
Portfolio: $915 (-0.7% return)
S&P 500: $1007 (9.3 % return)
Today’s Game
Tampa Bay (-120) @ Los Angeles Angels (-110)
In the only game I like today David Price is going up against Ervin Santana. Price struggled with control when he was first called up, but has fixed that lately as he has only walked 4 in his last 22 innings. His strikeouts are there and if he can keep the walks down he will be solid. Santana has struggled in his injury shortened season and does not have the control he had last year. His strikeouts are also down and it looks he has lost some of his stuff. I look for Tampa Bay to jump on the struggling Santana.
Bets
$12 TB -120
S&P 500: $1007 (9.3 % return)
Today’s Game
Tampa Bay (-120) @ Los Angeles Angels (-110)
In the only game I like today David Price is going up against Ervin Santana. Price struggled with control when he was first called up, but has fixed that lately as he has only walked 4 in his last 22 innings. His strikeouts are there and if he can keep the walks down he will be solid. Santana has struggled in his injury shortened season and does not have the control he had last year. His strikeouts are also down and it looks he has lost some of his stuff. I look for Tampa Bay to jump on the struggling Santana.
Bets
$12 TB -120
Monday, August 3, 2009
No Action Yesterday
I had a pretty good weekend, gaining $60 or 6.5%.
Portfolio: $1037 (12.6% return)
S&P 500: $987 (7.2% return)
Today’s Game
Kansas City (+120) @ Tampa Bay (-140)
In the only game I like today Zack Greinke is matched up against Scott Kazmir. Grienke is having a CY Young caliber season with a 10-6 record and 2.08 ERA. The Royals haven’t been scoring any runs for him lately and he should probably have around 15 wins. Greinke really shifted gears this season and proved he is one of the games elite. His strikeouts are up and walks are down and both are at elite levels. He has a great 5.47 K/BB ratio, which is one of the best in the majors. Kazmir has had a rough, injury plagued season going 5-6 with a 6.22 ERA. His indicators don’t look too good either. His 6.89 K/9 rate is down from his 9.46 career average and his 4.56 BB/9 rate is up from his 4.18 career average. His ground ball rate is right on his career average, but that’s not good as he is a fly ball pitcher. His hit rate looks a little high even though it seems he has lost his stuff a little. The Royals offense is really bad, but if they can be patient they should be able to score some runs off Kazmir. The Rays might be pressing a little in trying to win this 4 game series against the lowly Royals to keep pace with Boston and New York. Greinke should throw well and this game will probably be decided on weather the Royals offense and bullpen don’t stink. At +120, I’ll take the AL CY Young candidate.
Bets
$20 KC +120
Portfolio: $1037 (12.6% return)
S&P 500: $987 (7.2% return)
Today’s Game
Kansas City (+120) @ Tampa Bay (-140)
In the only game I like today Zack Greinke is matched up against Scott Kazmir. Grienke is having a CY Young caliber season with a 10-6 record and 2.08 ERA. The Royals haven’t been scoring any runs for him lately and he should probably have around 15 wins. Greinke really shifted gears this season and proved he is one of the games elite. His strikeouts are up and walks are down and both are at elite levels. He has a great 5.47 K/BB ratio, which is one of the best in the majors. Kazmir has had a rough, injury plagued season going 5-6 with a 6.22 ERA. His indicators don’t look too good either. His 6.89 K/9 rate is down from his 9.46 career average and his 4.56 BB/9 rate is up from his 4.18 career average. His ground ball rate is right on his career average, but that’s not good as he is a fly ball pitcher. His hit rate looks a little high even though it seems he has lost his stuff a little. The Royals offense is really bad, but if they can be patient they should be able to score some runs off Kazmir. The Rays might be pressing a little in trying to win this 4 game series against the lowly Royals to keep pace with Boston and New York. Greinke should throw well and this game will probably be decided on weather the Royals offense and bullpen don’t stink. At +120, I’ll take the AL CY Young candidate.
Bets
$20 KC +120
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