No Action Yesterday

Portfolio: $915 (-0.7% return)
S&P 500: $1036 (12.5% return)

Today's Games

New York Yankees (-120) @ Philadelphia (+110)

In Game 3 of the World Series Andy Pettitte is matched up against Cole Hamels. Pettitte has pitched well this postseason and wrapped up the ALCS against the Angels last week. Hamels has continued to struggle as he is giving up a higher than normal amount of hits. The Phillies have been really tough at home the last 2 postseasons and the Yankees still look like they are playing tighter than normal. I like the Phillies to take Game 3 at home as I think they are the better all around team and have more confidence.

Bets

$20 PHI +110

Yankees Win - Down $30

Pedro pitched well but Burnett dominated. I did not think Burnett would dominate the Phillies, and I did not think the Phillies would only score 1 run. Game 3 will be interesting with Andy Pettitte facing Cole Hamels. A win last night would have a been a big boost to my portfolio, putting it at $999 (8.5% return), but instead I fall back into the negative. The breakout is coming.

Portfolio: $915 (-0.7% return)
S&P 500: $1066 (15.7% return)

Today's Games

None

Phillies Win - Up $45

Cliff Lee dominated just like he has all postseason and CC finally looked like his old choking self. He did not look sharp at all and he should have given up more runs as he was consistently missing locations and pitching from behind the whole game. I think the Yankees are in some trouble as they looked tight last night and will most likely be that way again tonight.

Portfolio: $945 (2.6% return)
S&P 500: $1043 (13.2% return)

Today's Games

Philadelphia (+180) @ New York Yankees (-200)

In Game 2 of the World Series Pedro Martinez is matched up against AJ Burnett. Both pitchers have been average this postseason with Pedro being a little better. Burnett has good stuff but continues to struggle with control. Pedro has a little left in the tank and his control is still way above average. The Phillies look like they are playing loose and they generally beat up pitchers who can't locate their pitches. I am sticking by my theory that the Yankees seem to be happy just to make the World Series and seem to have no energy left. Combine that with the fact that they looked really tight and I see the Phillies winning easily tonight.

Bets

$30 PHI +180

No Action Yesterday

I was glad to see the NBA season start. I will very rarely bet on NBA games, but I will follow it. This season is going to be one of the better one's in recent history. The NBA is back to having a good product.

Portfolio: $900 (-2.3% return)
S&P 500: $1063 (15.4% return)

Today's Games

Philadelphia (+150) @ New York Yankees (-170)

In Game 1 of the World Series Cliff Lee is matched up against CC Sabathia in what should be a great matchup between two former Indians and CY Young winners. Cliff Lee has been dominant this postseason but has been helped out by a low hit rate. His other indicators are solid. Sabathia has also been dominant and his indicators look solid, but I am still sticking by my theory that he will choke. I also feel like the Yankees are just happy to get to the World Series and gave everything they got to get here. I think the Phillies expected to get here. I would not be surprised to see the Phillies take the Series in 5. I think the Phillies are a great bet tonight at +150.

Bets

$30 PHI +150

No Action Yesterday

Portfolio: $900 (-2.3% return)
S&P 500: $1067 (15.9% return)

Today's Games

None

Horrible Day, 0-4 Down $43

Wow I did not expect that. The Texans could not put the game away in the 3rd and the Dolphins somehow blew the cover. Who knows what is up with Carolina, and the Cowboys looked sharp coming off a bye. For some reason there are more lopsided games in the NFL this year than I can remember. I think it may be due to the quarterbacks. There are a decent amount of good ones and a decent amount of bad ones, with not too many in the middle.

The Yankees advance to the World Series and it should be a good one. I give the edge to the Phillies, and I still believe CC Sabathia will choke.

My chart is not looking too good lately.

Portfolio: $900 (-2.3% return)
S&P 500: $1080 (17.3% return)

Today's Games

None

ALCS Game 6 Postponed

No action last night due to rain, but I still like the Angels at the same odds.

Portfolio: $943 (2.4% return)

S&P 500: $1080 (17.3% return)

Today's Games

Los Angels Angels (+170) @ New York Yankees (-190)

San Francisco @ Houston (-3)

Buffalo @ Carolina (-7)

New Orleans @ Miami (+7)

Atlanta @ Dallas (-4)

See yesterday's post for analysis on the baseball game.

The 49ers/Texans game is a matchup of good defense vs good offense and bad offense vs bad defense. The Texans have an explosive offense and the 49ers have a tough defense. The 49ers get Michael Crabtree, although he probably won't have much of an impact. They also get Frank Gore back, but he may still be limited by his ankle. I like the Texans at home as I do not think the 49ers can hold them for their anemic offense.

The Bills have a lot of problems on offense mainly due to horrible offensive line and quarterback play, and last week they let up over 300 yards rushing in an overtime win against the Jets. They face the Panthers who had two 100 yard backs last week and plan on doing that again this week. I see the Panthers controlling the clock in an easy win. I'll take the Panthers -7.

The Saints have been the best team in the league so far and are coming off an impressive victory over the Giants last week. The Dolphins are coming off a bye and have a tough ball controlling offense and a decent defense. They play very physical style of football that I'm not sure the Saints have seen. The best defense against a high powered offense like the Saints is a ball controlling offense. The Saints have been getting a lot of turnovers this year, averaging around 3 per game, and that has really helped out their offense. The Dolphins do not turn the ball over so I do not expect the Saints to continue getting turnovers. I like the rested Dolphins +7 at home against the talk of the league right now. Another reason why I like this game is because ESPN has been hyping up the Saints.

I like Atlanta in this game as I think they are one of the better teams in the NFC. The Cowboys are falling apart at all levels and I think there is too much pressure on them right now.

Bets

$10 LAA +170

$11 HOU -3

$11 CAR -7

$11 MIA +7

$11 ATL +4

No Action Yesterday

Portfolio: $943 (2.4% return)

S&P 500: $1080 (17.3% return)

Today's Games

Los Angeles Angels (+170) @ New York Yankees (-190)

In Game 6 of the ALCS Joe Saunders is matched up against Andy Pettitte in what should be a great game. Saunders pitched well against the Yankees earlier in the series while Pettitte labored a little. The Angels have been making uncharacteristic mistakes and are having problems scoring runs. The Yankees have been playing loose and seem to be having fun. This game will be a little different and I would not be surprised to see the Yankees a little tighter than normal. I think the Yankees have just a slightly better chance to win, but with the current odds I believe the Angels are a good play.

Bets

$10 LAA +170

No Action Yesterday

The Angels will not go down easily. I thought they were done when the Yankees scored 6 in the top of the 7th, but they fought back.

Portfolio: $943 (2.4% return)
S&P 500: $1093 (18.7% return)

Today's Games

None

Phillies In World Series

My portfolio gained $20 as the Phillies advanced to the World Series. The Yankees will most likely advance too and it will make for a great Series with the edge going to the Phillies.

Portfolio: $943 (2.4% return)
S&P 500: $1082 (17.5% return)

Today's Games

None, although I would not be surprised to see the Angels take this one.