Portfolio: $794 (-13.8 % return)
S&P 500: $1092 (18.6% return)
Today's Games (6/24)
Cleveland (+140) @ Philadelphia (-160)
St. Louis (-140) @ Toronto (+120)
In the first game a rejuvenated Fausto Carmona is matched up against a struggling Joe Blanton. Carmona looks like the 2007 version that was in the CY Young talks and helped lead the Tribe to the ALCS. He is basically just throwing the ball over the plate and letting his power sinker work. He has one of the best sinkers in the game, and he has only walked 1 batter in his last 15 innings. Blanton has been serving meatballs this year and his ERA over his last 3 starts is 10.20. He was never a strikeout pitcher, but his strikeouts are down a decent amount from last year. He is not walking more than usual, it just looks like he is throwing the ball right down the middle of the plate. I will go with the momentum in this game and take the Tribe.
In the second game Adam Wainwright is matched up against Brandon Morrow. Wainwright is one of the best pitchers in the National League and also one of the most underrated. His indicators are as strong as ever and he has been cruising this whole season. Morrow has a lot of potential and can rack up strikeouts, but he has trouble finding the strike zone. This leads to too many base runners and he is not good enough to overcome that. A team like the Cardinals should be patient and drive up his pitch count, so don't see him going deep into the game. I think the Cardinals at -140 are a good value.
Bets
$10 CLE +140
$14 STL -140
Showing posts with label adam wainwright. Show all posts
Showing posts with label adam wainwright. Show all posts
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Saturday, September 26, 2009
Rough Night - Down $75
Looks like I was way off on the Red Sox game as Lester was the one who lasted 2 1/3 innings and Chamberlain went 6. The Marlins also blew a save after burning me Wednesday night by coming back against Philadelphia. It's tough going 0-fer when betting favorites in baseball, but overall my portfolio is still in decent shape. I'm still not comfortable betting on college football yet.
Portfolio: $1088 (18.1% return)
S&P 500: $1044 (13.4% return)
Today's Games
St. Louis (+130) @ Colorado (-140)
In the only game today Adam Wainwright is matched up against Ubaldo Jimenez in a possible division series match up. Wainwright is sharp right now and is looking to lock up some more votes for the CY Young and clinch the division for his team. I do not see a weakness in his game. Jimenez is the Rockies ace and is looking to help his team nail down the wild card, but has been inconsistent lately as his walk rate has spiked. I like the Cardinals in a good value play here.
Bet
$20 STL +130
Sunday, September 20, 2009
Boston and Colorado Take Care of Business
My portfolio gained $40 as Jon Lester and Jason Hammel pitched solid and both teams pulled away at the end of the game to win easily. I'm staying away from the NFL this week as it is still way too unpredictable. I have also decided to list my winning percentage for the first time today. If you have been following my advice and using my conservative money management approach then you should be doing pretty well.
S&P 500: $1068 (16% return)
Overall Record: 48-33 (59%)
Favorites: 34-18 (65%)
Underdogs: 15-14 (52%)
Today’s Games
Chicago Cubs (+140) @ St. Louis (-160)
Carlos Zambrano is matched up against Adam Wainwright. Zambrano is an erratic pitcher who has not been throwing well lately. While his strikeouts are up, so are his walks and hits. He has also not fared well against the Cardinals this year. Wainwright is making a bid for the National League CY Young award and has been on top of his game in his last 2 starts. His indicators tell me that he will keep it up. He is 3-0 with a 2.43 ERA against the Cubs in 4 starts this year and has an ERA of 1.89 at home. This is ESPN’s Sunday night game of the week and Wainwright will have the chance to show everyone how good he has been as the Cardinals should complete the sweep.
Bet
$32 STL -160
Wednesday, September 9, 2009
Back To Normal Life
After being away from everything for 5 days I am now back on a normal schedule.
Portfolio: $1016 (10.3% return)
S&P 500: $1025 (11.3% return)
Today’s Games
St. Louis (-200) @ Milwaukee (+170)
Florida (-140) @ New York Mets (+120)
In the first game Adam Wainwright is matched up against Jeff Suppan. Wainwright is in the talks for the NL CY Young, but was roughed up by Pittsburgh is his last start although he did pick up the win. This doesn’t seem to be anything to worry about and he should bounce back against the Brewers, a team who he has dominated this year. Suppan is 1-0 with a 2.81 ERA in his last 3 starts, but he shouldn’t be able to keep that up. His K’s are way down and his BB’s are uncharacteristically high and that explains his 1.94 WHIP over that span. He might be pitching with a dead arm or slightly hurt, and that does not bode well against the division leading Cardinals.
In the second game Ricky Nolasco is matched up against Pat Misch. Nolasco has been pretty solid in the second half of the season and his K and BB rates are ace caliber. He has suffered from a low strand rate lately so his ERA of 4.38 over his last 4 starts should probably be lower. Misch is making only his third start this year after appearing in 19 games out of the pen. He won’t miss a lot of bats, walk too many, or get a lot of ground balls, but he is left handed. Nolasco should have a decent outing against a light hitting Mets team as the Marlins need to pick it up if they want to play into October.
Bets
$20 STL -200
$14 FLA -140
I’ll ease into action after being away.
Portfolio: $1016 (10.3% return)
S&P 500: $1025 (11.3% return)
Today’s Games
St. Louis (-200) @ Milwaukee (+170)
Florida (-140) @ New York Mets (+120)
In the first game Adam Wainwright is matched up against Jeff Suppan. Wainwright is in the talks for the NL CY Young, but was roughed up by Pittsburgh is his last start although he did pick up the win. This doesn’t seem to be anything to worry about and he should bounce back against the Brewers, a team who he has dominated this year. Suppan is 1-0 with a 2.81 ERA in his last 3 starts, but he shouldn’t be able to keep that up. His K’s are way down and his BB’s are uncharacteristically high and that explains his 1.94 WHIP over that span. He might be pitching with a dead arm or slightly hurt, and that does not bode well against the division leading Cardinals.
In the second game Ricky Nolasco is matched up against Pat Misch. Nolasco has been pretty solid in the second half of the season and his K and BB rates are ace caliber. He has suffered from a low strand rate lately so his ERA of 4.38 over his last 4 starts should probably be lower. Misch is making only his third start this year after appearing in 19 games out of the pen. He won’t miss a lot of bats, walk too many, or get a lot of ground balls, but he is left handed. Nolasco should have a decent outing against a light hitting Mets team as the Marlins need to pick it up if they want to play into October.
Bets
$20 STL -200
$14 FLA -140
I’ll ease into action after being away.
Wednesday, August 19, 2009
No Action Last Night
Portfolio: $1037 (12.6% return)
S&P 500: $990 (7.5% return)
Today’s Game
St. Louis (+110) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (-130)
In the only game I like today Adam Wainwright is matched up against Clayton Kershaw in a battle between two sub 3 ERA’s. Wainwright is having a great season and has been really good lately, going 2-1 with a 1.31 ERA in his last 3, and it looks legit. He’s not walking anybody, his hits are normal, and his strikeouts are normal. Kershaw is also having a great season and is pitching well lately, going 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA in his last 4, but it doesn’t look to hold. He has been walking way too many, 5.06 BB/9 for the year, and his hit rate is way too low but seems to be turning around lately. I like the battle tested Wainwright in the rubber game between these two solid teams.
Bet
$20 STL +110
S&P 500: $990 (7.5% return)
Today’s Game
St. Louis (+110) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (-130)
In the only game I like today Adam Wainwright is matched up against Clayton Kershaw in a battle between two sub 3 ERA’s. Wainwright is having a great season and has been really good lately, going 2-1 with a 1.31 ERA in his last 3, and it looks legit. He’s not walking anybody, his hits are normal, and his strikeouts are normal. Kershaw is also having a great season and is pitching well lately, going 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA in his last 4, but it doesn’t look to hold. He has been walking way too many, 5.06 BB/9 for the year, and his hit rate is way too low but seems to be turning around lately. I like the battle tested Wainwright in the rubber game between these two solid teams.
Bet
$20 STL +110
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