Wednesday, July 7, 2010

Two Games Wednesday

Portfolio: $773 (-16.1% return)
S&P 500: $1049 (13.9% return)

Today's Games

San Francisco (-130) @ Milwaukee (+120)
Florida (-120) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (+110)

In the first game back to back NL CY Young winner Tim Lincecum is matched up against erratic Chris Narveson. Lincecum has struggled more than usual this year but his ERA is still 3.28 and he still has solid indicators. His control is was is hurting him as he's walking 1 more batter per nine than last year. He was not too impressive in his last outing but I think he'll start to turn it around soon. Narveson looks like he is just an average pitcher at best and is prone to giving up big innings. With this big of a pitching mismatch and the Giants having the better team I am scratching my head why the line is this low. Max bet on Giants -130.

In the second game CY Young front runner runner Josh Johnson is matched up against the the solid Hiroki Kuroda. Johnson is having a season of a lifetime since he has not given up more than 2 earned runs since May 8th. That is 10 starts! His indicators are rock solid and the best of his career and I expect him to throw well again tonight. Kuroda is a decent pitcher who won't overpower anyone so he is prone to letting up lots of runs from time to time. He was roughed up in his last 2 starts and his control hasn't been there this year. I don't expect him to get rocked again tonight, I just don't expect him to out duel Johnson. Max bet on Florida.

Bets

$39 SF -130
$36 FLA -120

No comments:

Post a Comment