Saturday, October 16, 2010

NLCS Game 1

Portfolio: $782 (-15.1% return)
S&P 500: $1176 (27.7% return)

Today's Game

San Francisco (+150) @ Philadelphia (-170)

In game 1 of the NCLS Tim Lincecum is matched up against Roy Halladay. I'm not sure if there has ever been two hotter pitchers to face each other in the postseason. Here's their combined numbers from their division series starts: 2 wins, 18 innings, 2 hits, 2 walks, and 22 strikeouts. Each pitcher faced the other team once this year, and both were in April. Lincecum dominated while Halladay struggled. That was so long ago though. I do believe Lincecum has handled the Phillies pretty well in the past, even in Philly. His change up is his best pitch and that kills lefties. I think when Lincecum is on that he is the best pitcher in the game. If his blister is not an issue I look for him to out duel Halladay in what should be a fun game to watch. Look for the Giants to be aggressive on offense by swinging early in the count and for the Phillies to be aggressive on the base paths as Lincecum is poor at managing the running game. I think the Phillies will take Lincecum deep once and the Giants will score 2-3 runs from multiple hits in an inning. I see the final score being 4-2 in favor of the Giants.

Bets

$20 SF +150

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