Sunday, January 3, 2010

NFL Today

This is the toughest week to bet in the NFL. The first two weeks are tough, but this is really tough. But I do like a couple of games today. I need to get past the break even point of $921 today, and I usually do well in the playoffs so hopefully this is the start of a little run.

Portfolio: $904 (-1.8% return)
S&P 500: $1115 (21.1% return)

Today's Games

Indianapolis @ Buffalo (-8)
Jacksonville @ Cleveland (-2)
Washington @ San Diego (-3.5)
Tennessee @ Seattle (+6)
Cincinnati @ NY Jets (-10)

I like the favorite in all the games above. The Colts will be playing like this is a preseason game plus the weather will be cold and snowy. The Colts are not a cold weather running team, so I expect them to lose big. The Jaguars are basically out of the playoffs and the Browns have been one of the hotter teams in the NFL lately. The weather will be about the same as in Buffalo and I just don't think the Jaguars will be up for this game. The Redskins are a hopeless team playing all the way on the west coast. I don't care if the Chargers play their backups, they should still win easily. Chris Johnson is trying to get to 2000 yards rushing so the Titans will have something to play for. The Bengals will be playing like it's a preseason game and the Jets need to win. This game will be lopsided.

Bets

$11 BUF -8
$11 CLE -2
$22 SD -3.5
$22 TEN -6
$11 NYJ -10

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