Sunday, May 1, 2011

Two Easy Games on Sunday

Portfolio: $718 (-22% return)
S&P 500: $1364 (48.1% return)

Today's Games

San Francisco (-120) @ Washington (+110)
Seattle (-110) @ Boston (+100)

In the first game Matt Cain is matched up against Jordan Zimmerman. Cain has gotten off to a pretty good start, except for a little hiccup two starts ago against the Rockies. All of his peripheral numbers are right in line with his career numbers and his walks and ground ball rate are significantly better this year. If that holds up he might be competing with teammate Tim Lincecum for the CY Young. Zimmerman has been pretty inconsistent this year and has struggled in his last two starts. His strikeouts are down and he seems to struggle when he gets guys on base. He'll eventually work those things out, but I'm not betting on it happening overnight. Both teams are right around .500, and I'll take the team with the better starter at the moment. I think there's pretty good value in the Giants here.

In the second game Felix Hernandez is matched up against knuckle baller Tim Wakefield. Hernandez is his usual self, and that means a top 5 pitcher in all of baseball. Wakefield is his usual self, and that means you never know what you're going to get, although he has a knack for keeping his team in the game. The Mariners are riding a 5 game winning streak and going for the sweep against the wanna be 'evil empire' Red Sox. Hernandez will defiantly be up for this game and I'm really liking the -110 line with the reigning CY Young winner on the mound.

I rarely do this, but I am maxing out both bets.

Bets

$36 SF -120
$33 SEA -110

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