Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Royals Win, Angels Lose – Down $7

Robinson Tejeda had electric stuff and pitched 5 innings of 1 run ball and Dice-K surprisingly outdueled Lackey.

Portfolio: $1115 (21.1% return)
S&P 500: $1053 (14.3% return)

Today’s Games

Florida (+110) @ St. Louis (-130)

In the only game today Josh Johnson is matched up against Joel Pineiro. Johnson has had a solid season, but is showing signs of fatigue as his walks are way up lately. Other than that all his other indicators are normal. He is also being monitored closely as he is coming off Tommy John surgery. I don’t expect him to throw more than 95 pitches. Pineiro is having a career year due to pinpoint control, 1.04 BB/9, and an increased ground ball rate. He has turned himself into a heavy ground ball pitcher after being about a 55/45 ground ball to fly ball guy earlier in his career. He won’t miss many bats, but hitter’s don’t square him up that often. Florida had a bad weekend and may have fallen out of the playoff race while the Cardinals are playing for home field advantage. I like the Cardinals and Pineiro.

Bet

$26 STL -130

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