Tuesday, June 29, 2010

1-2, Down $12 from Sunday

And the losing continues.

Portfolio: $758 (-17.7% return)
S&P 500: $1039 (12.8% return)

Today’s Games

Seattle (+150) @ NY Yankees (-160)

In my only game Cliff Lee is matched up against Phil Hughes. Lee has been spectacular this year with a 2.39 ERA and 4 complete games, but his record is only 6-3. This is just another example of how wins and losses are a fluke stat. Lee’s strikeout rate is the second highest of his career and almost a full batter per nine higher than the last 2 years, which were his best. All of his indicators are actually a little better than his 2008 CY Young year. He has only walked 4 batters in 86 2/3 innings. He is coming off back to back complete games and all signs are pointing in the right direction for him to continue. Hughes has good stuff and solid indicators. He got off to a great start and then stumbled a little. He is coming off a skipped start due to workload concerns, and I’m not sure how he’ll react. I know the Mariners offense is horrible, but I’m not sure what the Yankees will get out of Hughes in this start. I’ll take a leading CY Young candidate at +150 odds any day.

Bets

$10 SEA +150

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