Sunday, June 20, 2010

Two Games Sunday

Portfolio: $797 (-13.5% return)
S&P 500: $1118 (21.4% return)

Today's Games

Tampa Bay (+110) @ Florida (-120)
Cleveland (-130) @ Pittsburgh (+120)

In the first game David Price is matched up against Josh Johnson. Price is having a really good season with a 10-2 record and a 2.31 ERA, but he is struggling with his control lately. He is allowing way too many base runners and that will eventually come back to bite him. He has walked 8 batters in his last 11 innings but has only given up 3 runs. That is not going to last. Josh Johnson is having the best season of anyone not named Jimenez, and he doesn't look like he's slowing down anytime soon. I know Hanley might not play, but the Marlins can still hit and with this game being played in the National League I think that gives an advantage to Florida.

In the second game Justin Masterson is matched up against the rookie Brad Lincoln. Masterson seems to be putting things together lately even though his overall numbers do not show that. He throws one of the hardest sinkers in the game and can get some strikeouts when he's on. His problem is walks, but he has only walked 4 batters in his last 16 innings so that tells me he is locked in. If he can ever learn to throw strikes consistently he can be a top of the rotation starter. Brad Lincoln is making his third career start and things have not gone well for him. he allowed 5 runs in 6 innings in both starts, and he is not striking anyone out. I think Masterson will throw a pretty good game today and I think the Indians can score a decent amount of runs.

Bets

$12 FLA -120
$13 CLE -130

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