Sunday, June 27, 2010

Can't Get Much Worse

I am just stuck in a bad streak, but it won't last.

Portfolio: $770 (-16.4% return)
S&P 500: $1078 (17% return)

Today's Games

San Diego (-100) @ Florida (-110)
Minnesota (-100) @ NY Mets (-110)
Boston (+110) @ San Francisco (-120)

In the first game Mat Latos is matched up against Anibal Sanchez. Latos has been a top pitcher in the National League this year and his strikeout, walk, and hit rate all look like the real deal. His hit rate may be a little low, but even if that corrects he is still top notch. There is no signs of him slowing down. Sanchez is having a decent year at 7-4 with a 3.30 ERA, but his indicators show he's just an average pitcher. His ERA should probably be more towards 4 instead of 3. I like the Padres at even money with their young stub on the mound.

In the second game Scott Baker is matched up against Jonathon Niese. Baker has a very good strikeout to walk ratio, but he gives up a lot of fly balls so his hit rate is up plus he gives up a decent amount of extra base hits including home runs. If he can learn to get some ground balls he will become a good pitcher pretty fast. Niese is a youngster that has some potential. His indicators look pretty average, and the fact that he's young means he will be inconsistent. He was just rocked his last time out, so his confidence might be a little shot. I like Baker to throw a quality game versus a National League lineup.

In the third game Jon Lester is matched up against Tim Lincecum in what should be a great game. Both pitchers are top notch and both teams and playing well. Other than Lincecum having slightly better stuff these pitchers are very similar. Lincecum is really tough to beat at home and that is the only reason while I'll lean with the Giants in this one.

Bets

$10 SD -100
$10 MIN -100
$12 SF -120

2 comments:

  1. I just wanna know that if sports Betting is illegal in some country but is it illegal to bet on sports with a legal bookmaker outside the country?

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  2. I believe it is legal to bet with a bookmaker outside the country, but the illegal part would be if you didn't claim winnings and pay taxes. It is legal to bet, but illegal to accept bets with a vigor (juice) taken out. That is what I get out of the law. Each state varies and it's pretty confusing.

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