Wednesday, June 23, 2010

Two Games Thursday

Portfolio: $794 (-13.8 % return)
S&P 500: $1092 (18.6% return)

Today's Games (6/24)

Cleveland (+140) @ Philadelphia (-160)
St. Louis (-140) @ Toronto (+120)

In the first game a rejuvenated Fausto Carmona is matched up against a struggling Joe Blanton. Carmona looks like the 2007 version that was in the CY Young talks and helped lead the Tribe to the ALCS. He is basically just throwing the ball over the plate and letting his power sinker work. He has one of the best sinkers in the game, and he has only walked 1 batter in his last 15 innings. Blanton has been serving meatballs this year and his ERA over his last 3 starts is 10.20. He was never a strikeout pitcher, but his strikeouts are down a decent amount from last year. He is not walking more than usual, it just looks like he is throwing the ball right down the middle of the plate. I will go with the momentum in this game and take the Tribe.

In the second game Adam Wainwright is matched up against Brandon Morrow. Wainwright is one of the best pitchers in the National League and also one of the most underrated. His indicators are as strong as ever and he has been cruising this whole season. Morrow has a lot of potential and can rack up strikeouts, but he has trouble finding the strike zone. This leads to too many base runners and he is not good enough to overcome that. A team like the Cardinals should be patient and drive up his pitch count, so don't see him going deep into the game. I think the Cardinals at -140 are a good value.

Bets

$10 CLE +140
$14 STL -140

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