Tuesday, April 12, 2011

0-1, Down $13

Verlander pitched pretty well, but Ogando and the Rangers bullpen pitched better in a 2-0 win as Texas stayed hot.

Portfolio: $785 (-14.8% return)
S&P 500: $1316 (42.9% return)

Today's Games

Oakland (+110) @ Chicago White Sox (-120)
Cleveland (+150) @ Los Angeles Angels (-170)
Toronto (-110) @ Seattle (+100)

In the first game Trevor Cahill is matched up against Edwin Jackson. Both pitchers have gotten off to great starts, but the Chicago offense is a lot better than the Oakland offense. Chicago only scored 1 run last night in a 2-1 loss and I don't see their offense being dormant for two games in a row.

In the second game Fausto Carmona for the red hot Indians is matched up against Dan Haren. Carmona sports an 0-1 record with an ERA of 9.00, but he has pitched a lot better than what those number indicate. He was shelled in his first start, but came back and pitched a gem in his second start. I think his first start was just a product of bad luck as his stuff was good and he was pounding the strike zone (I was at that game). He did the same thing in his second start and threw 7 innings of scoreless 2 hit ball against the Red Sox. His ability to throw strikes and not walk batters does not fare well for opposing hitters as his sinker is one of the best in the game. Haren has also pitched well, but he is facing a Cleveland team that has won 8 in a row with their ace on the mound. I think Cleveland is a great value here at +150.

In the third game Ricky Romero is matched up against top prospect Michael Pineda. Romero has been pretty close to lights out in his first 2 starts as he looks to mature into one of the top lefties in the game. Pineda had a good first career start, giving up 3 runs in 6 innings, and he has the potential to be a great pitcher. The hard thrower tore up the minors the last couple of years, but I look for him to be inconsistent this year. Romero should be able to handle a light hitting Mariners lineup, so the -110 line looks like a steal here.

Bets

$12 CHW -120
$10 CLE +150
$22 TOR -110

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