Thursday, August 5, 2010

Phillies Pull It Out In 10, Up $30

Roy Oswalt pitched great through six and then the wheels kind of came off, and Volstad labored through 5 2/3, allowing 8 hits and walking 3 but somehow only allowed 2 runs.

Portfolio: $815 (-11.5% return)
S&P 500: $1126 (22.3% return)

Today's Games

Colorado (-150) @ Pittsburgh (+130)
Los Angeles Angels (-100) @ Detroit (-120)
Houston (+110) @ Milwaukee (-130)

In the first game Jason Hammel is matched up against Zah Duke. Hammel is slowly becoming one of the most underrated pitchers in the game. He has good stuff and doesn't have trouble finding the strike zone. He has pitched pretty well as of late but has had some bad luck, going 0-3 with a 5.33 ERA in his last 4 starts. He probably should have a win or two and an ERA in the 3's. Facing a young Pirates lineup for the first time should change his luck. Duke is a borderline major league starter and can have the occasional lefty dominant performance, but I don't think he'll do it against a good hitting Rockies lineup. He really struggles and is probably more suited for the bullpen. I like the Rockies.

In the second game Jered Weaver is matched up against Justin Verlander. Weaver leads the AL in strikeouts and is having his best season as a pro, and his indicators back it up. I would classify him as a legitimate ace now. Verlander hasn't been as dominant this year as last. His strikeouts are down and his walks are up. He is having some decent control problems as of late and until he fixes that things will not go well. The Angels have a good hitting team and I think this will be a good pitching duel, but with the Tigers in a free fall lately I like the Angels.

In the third game red hot Wandy Rodriguez is matched up against Dave Bush. Rodriguez has been on fire as he has not allowed a run in his last 2 starts. He has great command of the strike zone and it looks like his curve is working again. He has one of the best curve balls in the league, and I look for him to continue his run of dominance. Bush on the other hand has been getting tagged lately. It almost looks like he's been throwing batting practice, but it also looks like he has been the victim of bad luck. His luck will eventually turn around for the better, but I don't think it will matter because Rodriguez should have another dominant performance against a strikeout prone Brewers team. I like the Astros and I can't figure why they are the underdogs. I am going to put a little more on them.

Bets

$15 COL -150
$10 LAA -100
$20 HOU +110

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