Monday, August 23, 2010

Two For Tuesday

Portfolio: $787 (-14.5% return)
S&P 500: $1067 (15.9% return)

Today's Games (Tuesday 8/24)

Florida (-120) @ New York Mets (-100)
Minnesota (+120) @ Texas (-140)

In the first game Josh Johnson is matched up against R.A. Dickey. Johnson is a top candidate for the NL CY Young but has hit a little rough patch, but is coming of an 8 inning, 2 run performance. He's just been giving up a high number of hits, which most likely means it's just luck and that it will turn around. The knuckleballer Dickey is having a career year and the main reason why is his control. His walks are really low for a knuckleballer and his pitches have been moving just enough to keep hitters from squaring it up. But as with all knuckleballers you never know what your going to get since it's such a feel pitch. Both teams have been playing about the same recently and are within one game of each other. I'll take my chances with Johnson and what I think are pretty good odds.

In the second game Carl Pavano is matched up against Colby Lewis. Pavano was having a career year until recently where he is just giving up a lot of hits. His indicators are almost identical to his great 2004 season. His control is pinpoint and he mainly just lets the defense behind him do his job. But like I said a lot of balls have been finding green over his last few starts, but that will not last as things always even out. Lewis is a top candidate for comeback player of the year. He came out of nowhere, ok Japan, to put up a great season so far. His indicators are pretty darn good considering what was expected of him this season. He has been strong as of late but has been the tough luck loser in 3 of his last 4 starts. I think this will start to wear on him against a solid Twins team that has been hot. Texas looks like they might be starting to slip a little, so I like Pavano to rebound and the Twins as the underdog.

Bets

$12 FLA -120
$10 MIN +120

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