Monday, June 22, 2009

Easy Money

A typical slow Monday due to travel, but I do like 1 game tonight. It's the Rockies (+110) @ Angels (-130). I'll use the line's off Logans, which I get from going to the 'live odds' page in the sports section of the USA Today online. If the line is not an even betting number, I'll round to the nearest 10 so I don't have to deal with change.

I mainly look at the pitching matchup, but also condsider how the team has been playing of late. Aaron Cook looks realy good going up against Matt Palmer, and the Rockies have been playing lights out as of late winning 16 out of 17. Aaron Cook got off to a really bad start but has been pitching good as of late. The Rockies ace is a big time ground ball pitcher who gave up an usually high amount of home runs early in the season. Cook's not a strikeout pitcher, but has been striking out batter's at the highest rate in his career. He's also been walking batter's at the highest rate in the last 5 years, but his 5 year WHIP is unaffected due to a lower hit rate. I'm not too worried about the walks since they came early on in the season when he struggled. In his last 4 starts he has only walked 4 compared to 16 strikeouts, not bad at all.

Matt Palmer on the other hand has gotten off to a nice 6-0 start with a 4.13 ERA. If you look further into how he's doing it, it's fool's gold. Palmer is not a strikeout pitcher, not a heavy ground ball pitcher, not a control freak, and not left handed. What he's doing though is allowing very few hits, which is mostly luck and will eventually turn around.

The Bet
$40 COL +110

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