No Bets Yesterday

Good thing I backed off the games that I originally liked as both lost.

Portfolio: $1040 (12.9% return)
S&P 500: $879 (-4.6% return)

Today's Game

Cincinnati (-110) @ NY Mets (-100)

In the only game I like to today Aaron Harang is matched up against Mike Pelfrey. The Reds ace is 5-8 with a 3.89 ERA. His strikeout rate of 7.7 K/9 is down from his 2006-2007 average of 8.4 K/9, but in his last 4 starts it looks like he is getting that back by striking out 25 in 24 1/3 innings. His low walk rate of 2.11 BB/9 is consistent from the last 5 years, but his hit rate is a little up due to a decrease in ground balls. He gives up the long ball, but not at a higher rate than the last 5 years. The long ball should not be a big factor as the Mets have hit the least amount of home runs in the majors. So other than the decrease in ground balls it looks like he is getting back to his 06-07 form, which were the best years of his career. Pelfrey is an average ground ball pitcher who won't strikeout many, as shown by his 4.61 K/9 rate. He doesn't walk many with 3.34 BB/9, but that is up from his 2.87 BB/9 rate last year and has struggled to find the strike zone in his last 2 starts. His hit rate of 10.31 H/9 is probably a little higher than it should be given that his ground ball rate is up. It looks like Harang is starting to pitch like he did in 06-07 and I look for him to pitch solid today and pickup the win and the series for the Reds.

Bets

$22 CIN -110